Suns vs Pelicans prediction NBA · Saturday, December 27
At a glance
The New Orleans Pelicans (8-24) host the Phoenix Suns (17-13) on Saturday, December 27 at 7:00 PM ET at Smoothie King Center in NBA action. Final score: Suns 123 – Pelicans 114. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Suns a 64% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pelicans are 6-13 at home and the Suns are 7-8 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Pelicans and 5-5 for the Suns (current streaks: Pelicans L2, Suns W2).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Suns, but the Pelicans have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Pelicans 113 – 118 Suns, a margin of about 4.4 points in favor of the Suns and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Pelicans and the Suns played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (-6.7 vs 0.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Suns' defense allows clearly fewer points (114.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PHXNO
Top performers
Suns
Devin BookerG · #1520pts / game
Collin GillespieG · #127assists
Oso IghodaroF · #1110reboundsPelicans
Trey Murphy IIIF · #2524pts / game
Derik QueenC · #223assistsDerik QueenC · #2211reboundsRecent form
PHXNOHead-to-head
PHX lead 4-0 this season.
NO
Team comparison
| PHX | NO | |
|---|---|---|
| 17-13 | Record | 8-24 |
| 114.5 | Points scored / game | 113.8 |
| 114.5 | Points allowed / game | 121.7 |
| 0.0 | Adjusted margin / game | -6.7 |
| W2 | Current streak | L2 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 7-8 road | Home / road record | 6-13 home |
| 36-46 (-3.0) | Last season | 21-61 (-9.4) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Suns
Injury report Pelicans
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.