Trail Blazers vs Grizzlies prediction NBA · Wednesday, March 4
At a glance
The Memphis Grizzlies (23-37) host the Portland Trail Blazers (29-33) on Wednesday, March 4 at 8:00 PM ET at FedExForum in NBA action. Final score: Trail Blazers 122 – Grizzlies 114. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Grizzlies a 58% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Grizzlies are 12-17 at home and the Trail Blazers are 13-18 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Grizzlies and 5-5 for the Trail Blazers (current streaks: Grizzlies L1, Trail Blazers L2).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Grizzlies, but the Trail Blazers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Grizzlies 117 – 115 Trail Blazers, a margin of about 2.6 points in favor of the Grizzlies and a total around 232 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Grizzlies played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PORMEM
Top performers
Trail Blazers
Jrue HolidayG · #535pts / gameJrue HolidayG · #511assists
Robert Williams IIIC · #3511reboundsGrizzlies
Jaylen WellsF · #024pts / game
Walter Clayton Jr.G · #18assists
Olivier-Maxence ProsperF · #189reboundsRecent form
PORMEMHead-to-head
POR lead 3-1 this season.
POR
Team comparison
| POR | MEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-33 | Record | 23-37 |
| 114.5 | Points scored / game | 116.6 |
| 117.6 | Points allowed / game | 117.5 |
| -2.6 | Adjusted margin / game | -0.8 |
| L2 | Current streak | L1 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 3-7 |
| 13-18 road | Home / road record | 12-17 home |
| 36-46 (-3.0) | Last season | 48-34 (+4.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Trail Blazers
Injury report Grizzlies
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.