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Grizzlies vs Trail Blazers prediction NBA · Friday, February 6

FinalModa Center · NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN SE, KUNP 16, BlazerVision
49% win MEMwin POR 51%
FavoritePOR
Projected margin0.2
Projected total233
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Portland Trail Blazers (23-28) host the Memphis Grizzlies (20-29) on Friday, February 6 at 10:00 PM ET at Moda Center in NBA action. Final score: Grizzlies 115 – Trail Blazers 135. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Trail Blazers a 51% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Trail Blazers are 13-13 at home and the Grizzlies are 9-14 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Trail Blazers and 3-7 for the Grizzlies (current streaks: Trail Blazers L6, Grizzlies W2).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Trail Blazers 117 – 116 Grizzlies, a margin of about 0.2 points in favor of the Trail Blazers and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Grizzlies need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Trail Blazers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)POR -2.5 / MEM -0.3 per game
-2.1
Home-court advantageTrail Blazers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Trail Blazers
+0.2

Scenarios

Trail Blazers win by 10+
22%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Grizzlies win by 10+
21%

Stat comparison Current season

MEMPOR
116.6
Points scored / game
114.4
117.0
Points allowed / game
117.3
45.3 %
Field goal %
51.1 %
39.1 %
3-point %
38.9 %
37.8
3-pointers attempted / game
43.7
82.8 %
Free throw %
70.8 %
50.0
Rebounds / game
46.3
25.0
Assists / game
30.7
6.3
Steals / game
8.3
6.3
Blocks / game
2.7
15.5
Turnovers / game
13.3

Top performers

Grizzlies
Cam SpencerG · #2418pts / game
Scotty Pippen Jr.G · #16assists
Cedric CowardF · #238rebounds
Trail Blazers
Jerami GrantF · #323pts / game
Scoot HendersonG · #009assists
Donovan ClinganC · #2317rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MEM
No games played yet.
POR
No games played yet.

Team comparison

MEMPOR
20-29Record23-28
116.6Points scored / game114.4
117.0Points allowed / game117.3
-0.3Adjusted margin / game-2.5
W2Current streakL6
3-7Last 10 games4-6
9-14 roadHome / road record13-13 home
48-34 (+4.9)Last season36-46 (-3.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Memphis Grizzlies Injury report Grizzlies

No injuries reported.

Portland Trail Blazers Injury report Trail Blazers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.