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Trail Blazers vs Grizzlies prediction NBA · Sunday, December 7

FinalFedExForum · BlazerVision, NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN SE
36% win PORwin MEM 64%
FavoriteMEM
Projected margin4.4
Projected total233
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Memphis Grizzlies (10-13) host the Portland Trail Blazers (9-14) on Sunday, December 7 at 6:00 PM ET at FedExForum in NBA action. Final score: Trail Blazers 96 – Grizzlies 119. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Grizzlies a 64% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Grizzlies are 5-6 at home and the Trail Blazers are 6-8 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Grizzlies and 3-7 for the Trail Blazers (current streaks: Grizzlies W1, Trail Blazers L1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Grizzlies, but the Trail Blazers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Grizzlies 119 – 114 Trail Blazers, a margin of about 4.4 points in favor of the Grizzlies and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Grizzlies
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MEM -0.1 / POR -2.2 per game
+2.1
Home-court advantageGrizzlies at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Grizzlies
+4.4

Scenarios

Grizzlies win by 10+
33%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Trail Blazers win by 10+
13%

Stat comparison Current season

PORMEM
115.8
Points scored / game
116.2
118.4
Points allowed / game
116.4
51.1 %
Field goal %
45.3 %
38.9 %
3-point %
39.1 %
43.7
3-pointers attempted / game
37.8
70.8 %
Free throw %
82.8 %
46.3
Rebounds / game
50.0
30.7
Assists / game
25.0
8.3
Steals / game
6.3
2.7
Blocks / game
6.3
13.3
Turnovers / game
15.5

Top performers

Trail Blazers
Jerami GrantF · #321pts / game
Deni AvdijaF · #87assists
Jerami GrantF · #37rebounds
Grizzlies
Santi AldamaF · #3422pts / game
Cam SpencerG · #246assists
Zach EdeyC · #1410rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
POR
No games played yet.
MEM
No games played yet.

Team comparison

PORMEM
9-14Record10-13
115.8Points scored / game116.2
118.4Points allowed / game116.4
-2.2Adjusted margin / game-0.1
L1Current streakW1
3-7Last 10 games6-4
6-8 roadHome / road record5-6 home
36-46 (-3.0)Last season48-34 (+4.9)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Portland Trail Blazers Injury report Trail Blazers

No injuries reported.

Memphis Grizzlies Injury report Grizzlies

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.