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Grizzlies vs Trail Blazers prediction NBA · Saturday, February 7

FinalModa Center · NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN SE, KUNP 16, BlazerVision
48% win MEMwin POR 52%
FavoritePOR
Projected margin0.8
Projected total231
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Portland Trail Blazers (24-28) host the Memphis Grizzlies (20-30) on Saturday, February 7 at 10:00 PM ET at Moda Center in NBA action. Final score: Grizzlies 115 – Trail Blazers 122. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Trail Blazers a 52% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Trail Blazers are 14-13 at home and the Grizzlies are 9-15 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Trail Blazers and 3-7 for the Grizzlies (current streaks: Trail Blazers W1, Grizzlies L1).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Trail Blazers 116 – 115 Grizzlies, a margin of about 0.8 points in favor of the Trail Blazers and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Trail Blazers and the Grizzlies played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Grizzlies need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Trail Blazers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)POR -2.1 / MEM -0.6 per game
-1.5
Home-court advantageTrail Blazers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Trail Blazers
+0.8

Scenarios

Trail Blazers win by 10+
23%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Grizzlies win by 10+
19%

Stat comparison Current season

MEMPOR
116.5
Points scored / game
114.7
117.3
Points allowed / game
117.3
45.3 %
Field goal %
51.1 %
39.1 %
3-point %
38.9 %
37.8
3-pointers attempted / game
43.7
82.8 %
Free throw %
70.8 %
50.0
Rebounds / game
46.3
25.0
Assists / game
30.7
6.3
Steals / game
8.3
6.3
Blocks / game
2.7
15.5
Turnovers / game
13.3

Top performers

Grizzlies
Olivier-Maxence ProsperF · #1825pts / game
Walter Clayton Jr.G · #17assists
GG JacksonF · #458rebounds
Trail Blazers
Jerami GrantF · #329pts / game
Caleb LoveG · #88assists
Donovan ClinganC · #2319rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MEM
No games played yet.
POR
No games played yet.

Team comparison

MEMPOR
20-30Record24-28
116.5Points scored / game114.7
117.3Points allowed / game117.3
-0.6Adjusted margin / game-2.1
L1Current streakW1
3-7Last 10 games4-6
9-15 roadHome / road record14-13 home
48-34 (+4.9)Last season36-46 (-3.0)
YesPlayed yesterdayYes

Memphis Grizzlies Injury report Grizzlies

No injuries reported.

Portland Trail Blazers Injury report Trail Blazers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.