Suns vs Kings prediction NBA · Tuesday, March 3
At a glance
The Sacramento Kings (14-48) host the Phoenix Suns (34-26) on Tuesday, March 3 at 11:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center in NBA action. Final score: Suns 114 – Kings 103. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Suns a 67% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Kings are 9-20 at home and the Suns are 14-14 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Kings and 4-6 for the Suns (current streaks: Kings L1, Suns W1).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Suns, but the Kings have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Kings 111 – 117 Suns, a margin of about 5.5 points in favor of the Suns and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-7.7 vs +0.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Suns' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.2 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PHXSAC
Top performers
Suns
Jalen GreenG · #420pts / game
Collin GillespieG · #129assists
Oso IghodaroF · #1114reboundsKings
Maxime RaynaudC · #4222pts / game
Russell WestbrookG · #187assistsMaxime RaynaudC · #4210reboundsRecent form
PHXSACHead-to-head
PHX lead 4-0 this season.
SAC
Team comparison
| PHX | SAC | |
|---|---|---|
| 34-26 | Record | 14-48 |
| 112.4 | Points scored / game | 111.2 |
| 112.2 | Points allowed / game | 120.3 |
| +0.1 | Adjusted margin / game | -7.7 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 games | 2-8 |
| 14-14 road | Home / road record | 9-20 home |
| 36-46 (-3.0) | Last season | 40-42 (+0.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Suns
Injury report Kings
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.