Kings vs Suns prediction NBA · Friday, January 2
At a glance
The Phoenix Suns (19-14) host the Sacramento Kings (8-26) on Friday, January 2 at 9:00 PM ET at Mortgage Matchup Center in NBA action. Final score: Kings 102 – Suns 129. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Suns a 81% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Suns are 10-5 at home and the Kings are 3-15 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Suns and 2-8 for the Kings (current streaks: Suns L1, Kings L3).
The analysis Model
The Suns start with a clear edge. The model projects Suns 120 – 109 Kings, a margin of about 11.1 points in favor of the Suns and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Kings played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+0.1 vs -7.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Suns' defense allows clearly fewer points (114.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
SACPHX
Top performers
Kings
Keegan MurrayF · #1323pts / game
Russell WestbrookG · #186assistsKeegan MurrayF · #139reboundsSuns
Devin BookerG · #1533pts / game
Jordan GoodwinG · #236assists
Mark WilliamsC · #259reboundsRecent form
SACPHXHead-to-head
PHX lead 4-0 this season.
SAC
Team comparison
| SAC | PHX | |
|---|---|---|
| 8-26 | Record | 19-14 |
| 112.1 | Points scored / game | 114.7 |
| 120.4 | Points allowed / game | 114.5 |
| -7.0 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.1 |
| L3 | Current streak | L1 |
| 2-8 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 3-15 road | Home / road record | 10-5 home |
| 40-42 (+0.5) | Last season | 36-46 (-3.0) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Kings
Injury report Suns
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.