Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Kings vs Suns prediction NBA · Wednesday, October 22

FinalMortgage Matchup Center · NBC Sports CA, NBA League Pass, Arizona's Family 3TV
Sacramento Kings
Sacramento Kings
0-1 · away
Final score
116-120
Projected: 116-115
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns
1-0 · home
52% win SACwin PHX 48%
FavoriteSAC
Projected margin0.7
Projected total231
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Phoenix Suns host the Sacramento Kings on Wednesday, October 22 at 10:00 PM ET at Mortgage Matchup Center in NBA action. Final score: Kings 116 – Suns 120. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Kings a 52% chance to win: prediction missed.

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Suns 115 – 116 Kings, a margin of about 0.7 points in favor of the Kings and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The Suns need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Suns
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PHX -2.5 / SAC +0.4 per game
-3.0
Home-court advantageSuns at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Suns
-0.7

Scenarios

Suns win by 10+
20%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Kings win by 10+
23%

Stat comparison Current season

SACPHX
115.7
Points scored / game
113.6
115.3
Points allowed / game
116.6
44.5 %
Field goal %
45.6 %
30.0 %
3-point %
31.9 %
32.5
3-pointers attempted / game
39.7
73.1 %
Free throw %
73.9 %
41.5
Rebounds / game
39.7
22.8
Assists / game
25.3
6.8
Steals / game
8.7
2.5
Blocks / game
5.3
14.3
Turnovers / game
14.0

Top performers

Kings
Zach LaVineG · #830pts / game
DeMar DeRozanG · #109assists
Nique CliffordG · #108rebounds
Suns
Devin BookerG · #1531pts / game
Grayson AllenG · #87assists
Mark WilliamsC · #2511rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
SAC
No games played yet.
PHX
No games played yet.

Team comparison

SACPHX
0-1Record1-0
115.7Points scored / game113.6
115.3Points allowed / game116.6
+0.4Adjusted margin / game-2.5
–Current streak–
–Last 10 games–
–Home / road record–
40-42 (+0.5)Last season36-46 (-3.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Sacramento Kings Injury report Kings

No injuries reported.

Phoenix Suns Injury report Suns

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.