Suns vs Kings prediction NBA · Wednesday, November 26
At a glance
The Sacramento Kings (5-13) host the Phoenix Suns (11-7) on Wednesday, November 26 at 10:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center in NBA action. Final score: Suns 112 – Kings 100. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Suns a 63% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Kings are 3-5 at home and the Suns are 3-4 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Kings and 8-2 for the Suns (current streaks: Kings W2, Suns L1).
The analysis Model
The Suns are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Kings 114 – 118 Suns, a margin of about 4.2 points in favor of the Suns and a total around 232 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-5.6 vs +0.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Suns' defense allows clearly fewer points (114.6 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PHXSAC
Top performers
Suns
Mark WilliamsC · #2521pts / game
Collin GillespieG · #129assistsMark WilliamsC · #2516reboundsKings
Keegan MurrayF · #1319pts / gameKeegan MurrayF · #133assists
Drew EubanksF · #199reboundsRecent form
PHXSACHead-to-head
PHX lead 4-0 this season.
SAC
Team comparison
| PHX | SAC | |
|---|---|---|
| 11-7 | Record | 5-13 |
| 115.7 | Points scored / game | 113.7 |
| 114.6 | Points allowed / game | 120.3 |
| +0.9 | Adjusted margin / game | -5.6 |
| L1 | Current streak | W2 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 games | 2-8 |
| 3-4 road | Home / road record | 3-5 home |
| 36-46 (-3.0) | Last season | 40-42 (+0.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Suns
Injury report Kings
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.