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Pelicans vs Lakers prediction NBA · Tuesday, March 3

Finalcrypto.com Arena · Spectrum Sports Net, Spectrum Sports Net +, GCSEN, Pelicans.com, NBA League Pass
26% win NOwin LAL 74%
FavoriteLAL
Projected margin7.9
Projected total232
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Los Angeles Lakers (36-24) host the New Orleans Pelicans (19-43) on Tuesday, March 3 at 10:30 PM ET at crypto.com Arena in NBA action. Final score: Pelicans 101 – Lakers 110. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Lakers a 74% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Lakers are 17-12 at home and the Pelicans are 8-22 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Lakers and 6-4 for the Pelicans (current streaks: Lakers W2, Pelicans L1).

The analysis Model

The Lakers start with a clear edge. The model projects Lakers 120 – 112 Pelicans, a margin of about 7.9 points in favor of the Lakers and a total around 232 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (+0.5 vs -5.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Lakers' defense allows clearly fewer points (114.9 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Lakers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAL +0.5 / NO -5.1 per game
+5.6
Home-court advantageLakers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Lakers
+7.9

Scenarios

Lakers win by 10+
43%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
26%
Pelicans win by 10+
8%

Stat comparison Current season

NOLAL
114.2
Points scored / game
115.5
120.2
Points allowed / game
114.9
46.5 %
Field goal %
52.9 %
29.0 %
3-point %
39.2 %
31.0
3-pointers attempted / game
36.2
83.6 %
Free throw %
79.1 %
44.3
Rebounds / game
38.0
23.5
Assists / game
24.0
12.3
Steals / game
10.8
4.8
Blocks / game
5.8
16.5
Turnovers / game
16.6

Top performers

Pelicans
Zion WilliamsonF · #124pts / game
Dejounte MurrayG · #58assists
Trey Murphy IIIF · #258rebounds
Lakers
Luka DoncicG · #7727pts / game
Luka DoncicG · #777assists
Luka DoncicG · #7710rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
NO
No games played yet.
LAL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

NOLAL
19-43Record36-24
114.2Points scored / game115.5
120.2Points allowed / game114.9
-5.1Adjusted margin / game+0.5
L1Current streakW2
6-4Last 10 games5-5
8-22 roadHome / road record17-12 home
21-61 (-9.4)Last season50-32 (+1.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

New Orleans Pelicans Injury report Pelicans

No injuries reported.

Los Angeles Lakers Injury report Lakers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.