Pelicans vs Lakers prediction NBA · Sunday, November 30
At a glance
The Los Angeles Lakers (14-4) host the New Orleans Pelicans (3-17) on Sunday, November 30 at 9:30 PM ET at crypto.com Arena in NBA action. Final score: Pelicans 121 – Lakers 133. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Lakers a 89% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Lakers are 6-2 at home and the Pelicans are 1-8 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Lakers and 1-9 for the Pelicans (current streaks: Lakers W6, Pelicans L2).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Lakers dominate this matchup. The model projects Lakers 122 – 107 Pelicans, a margin of about 15.0 points in favor of the Lakers and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Pelicans played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+2.4 vs -8.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Lakers' offense (116.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Lakers' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
NOLAL
Top performers
Pelicans
Bryce McGowensG · #1123pts / gameBryce McGowensG · #115assists
Saddiq BeyG · #4111reboundsLakers
Luka DoncicG · #7734pts / game
Austin ReavesG · #158assistsLuka DoncicG · #7712reboundsRecent form
NOLALHead-to-head
LAL lead 4-0 this season.
LAL
Team comparison
| NO | LAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-17 | Record | 14-4 |
| 110.4 | Points scored / game | 116.7 |
| 120.7 | Points allowed / game | 113.9 |
| -8.8 | Adjusted margin / game | +2.4 |
| L2 | Current streak | W6 |
| 1-9 | Last 10 games | 8-2 |
| 1-8 road | Home / road record | 6-2 home |
| 21-61 (-9.4) | Last season | 50-32 (+1.2) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pelicans
Injury report Lakers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.