Lakers vs Pelicans prediction NBA · Friday, November 14
At a glance
The New Orleans Pelicans (2-9) host the Los Angeles Lakers (8-4) on Friday, November 14 at 8:00 PM ET at Smoothie King Center in NBA action. Final score: Lakers 118 – Pelicans 104. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Lakers a 72% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pelicans are 1-3 at home and the Lakers are 5-2 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Pelicans and 7-3 for the Lakers (current streaks: Pelicans L3, Lakers L1).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Lakers, but the Pelicans have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Pelicans 111 – 118 Lakers, a margin of about 7.2 points in favor of the Lakers and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-9.4 vs +0.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Lakers' offense (114.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Lakers' defense allows clearly fewer points (114.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
LALNO
Top performers
Lakers
Austin ReavesG · #1531pts / game
Luka DoncicG · #7712assists
Deandre AytonC · #816reboundsPelicans
Trey Murphy IIIF · #2535pts / game
Saddiq BeyG · #417assists
Derik QueenC · #2210reboundsRecent form
LALNOHead-to-head
LAL lead 4-0 this season.
LAL
Team comparison
| LAL | NO | |
|---|---|---|
| 8-4 | Record | 2-9 |
| 114.7 | Points scored / game | 109.3 |
| 114.5 | Points allowed / game | 120.4 |
| +0.1 | Adjusted margin / game | -9.4 |
| L1 | Current streak | L3 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 2-8 |
| 5-2 road | Home / road record | 1-3 home |
| 50-32 (+1.2) | Last season | 21-61 (-9.4) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Lakers
Injury report Pelicans
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.