Lakers vs Pelicans prediction NBA · Tuesday, January 6
At a glance
The New Orleans Pelicans (8-29) host the Los Angeles Lakers (22-11) on Tuesday, January 6 at 8:00 PM ET at Smoothie King Center in NBA action. Final score: Lakers 111 – Pelicans 103. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Lakers a 66% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pelicans are 6-16 at home and the Lakers are 12-5 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Pelicans and 5-5 for the Lakers (current streaks: Pelicans L7, Lakers W2).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Lakers, but the Pelicans have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Pelicans 115 – 120 Lakers, a margin of about 5.1 points in favor of the Lakers and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-7.1 vs +0.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Lakers' defense allows clearly fewer points (115.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
LALNO
Top performers
Lakers
LeBron JamesF · #2330pts / game
Luka DoncicG · #7710assists
Deandre AytonC · #811reboundsPelicans
Trey Murphy IIIF · #2542pts / game
Derik QueenC · #228assistsDerik QueenC · #2213reboundsRecent form
LALNOHead-to-head
LAL lead 4-0 this season.
LAL
Team comparison
| LAL | NO | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-11 | Record | 8-29 |
| 116.2 | Points scored / game | 113.9 |
| 115.9 | Points allowed / game | 122.2 |
| +0.3 | Adjusted margin / game | -7.1 |
| W2 | Current streak | L7 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 3-7 |
| 12-5 road | Home / road record | 6-16 home |
| 50-32 (+1.2) | Last season | 21-61 (-9.4) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Lakers
Injury report Pelicans
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.