Wizards vs Hawks prediction NBA · Thursday, February 26
At a glance
The Atlanta Hawks (29-31) host the Washington Wizards (16-41) on Thursday, February 26 at 7:30 PM ET at State Farm Arena in NBA action. Final score: Wizards 96 – Hawks 126. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hawks a 80% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Hawks are 12-16 at home and the Wizards are 5-22 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Hawks and 4-6 for the Wizards (current streaks: Hawks W2, Wizards L2).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Hawks dominate this matchup. The model projects Hawks 123 – 112 Wizards, a margin of about 10.6 points in favor of the Hawks and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-0.9 vs -9.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Hawks' offense (117.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Hawks' defense allows clearly fewer points (118.2 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
WSHATL
Top performers
Wizards
Will RileyG · #2714pts / game
Bub CarringtonG · #75assistsWill RileyG · #2710reboundsHawks
Corey KispertF · #2433pts / game
Dyson DanielsG · #511assists
Onyeka OkongwuF · #1711reboundsRecent form
WSHATLHead-to-head
ATL lead 3-1 this season.
ATL
Team comparison
| WSH | ATL | |
|---|---|---|
| 16-41 | Record | 29-31 |
| 111.5 | Points scored / game | 117.2 |
| 122.4 | Points allowed / game | 118.2 |
| -9.2 | Adjusted margin / game | -0.9 |
| L2 | Current streak | W2 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 5-22 road | Home / road record | 12-16 home |
| 18-64 (-12.4) | Last season | 40-42 (-1.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Wizards
Injury report Hawks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.