Hawks vs Wizards prediction NBA · Tuesday, November 25
At a glance
The Washington Wizards (1-15) host the Atlanta Hawks (11-7) on Tuesday, November 25 at 7:00 PM ET at Capital One Arena in NBA action. Final score: Hawks 113 – Wizards 132. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hawks a 82% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Wizards are 0-6 at home and the Hawks are 8-3 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 0-10 for the Wizards and 7-3 for the Hawks (current streaks: Wizards L14, Hawks W2).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Hawks dominate this matchup. The model projects Wizards 112 – 123 Hawks, a margin of about 11.2 points in favor of the Hawks and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-12.4 vs +1.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Hawks' offense (117.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Hawks' defense allows clearly fewer points (116.4 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
ATLWSH
Top performers
Hawks
Kristaps PorzingisC · #722pts / game
Dyson DanielsG · #57assists
Dyson DanielsG · #59rebounds
Wizards
CJ McCollumG · #346pts / game
Khris MiddletonF · #2212assists
Alex SarrC · #2011reboundsRecent form
ATL
WSHHead-to-head
ATL lead 3-1 this season.
Team comparison
| ATL | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 11-7 | Record | 1-15 |
| 117.7 | Points scored / game | 110.8 |
| 116.4 | Points allowed / game | 125.4 |
| +1.1 | Adjusted margin / game | -12.4 |
| W2 | Current streak | L14 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 0-10 |
| 8-3 road | Home / road record | 0-6 home |
| 40-42 (-1.1) | Last season | 18-64 (-12.4) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Hawks
Injury report Wizards
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.
ATL