Hawks vs Wizards prediction NBA · Saturday, December 6
At a glance
The Washington Wizards (3-18) host the Atlanta Hawks (13-11) on Saturday, December 6 at 7:00 PM ET at Capital One Arena in NBA action. Final score: Hawks 131 – Wizards 116. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hawks a 76% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Wizards are 2-7 at home and the Hawks are 9-5 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Wizards and 4-6 for the Hawks (current streaks: Wizards L2, Hawks L3).
The analysis Model
The Hawks start with a clear edge. The model projects Wizards 113 – 121 Hawks, a margin of about 8.8 points in favor of the Hawks and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Hawks played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (-12.4 vs +0.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Hawks' offense (117.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Hawks' defense allows clearly fewer points (117.4 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
ATLWSH
Top performers
Hawks
Jalen JohnsonF · #130pts / gameJalen JohnsonF · #112assistsJalen JohnsonF · #112reboundsWizards
CJ McCollumG · #328pts / game
Bub CarringtonG · #79assists
Kyshawn GeorgeF · #186reboundsRecent form
ATLWSHHead-to-head
ATL lead 3-1 this season.
ATL
Team comparison
| ATL | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 13-11 | Record | 3-18 |
| 117.7 | Points scored / game | 110.7 |
| 117.4 | Points allowed / game | 125.3 |
| +0.2 | Adjusted margin / game | -12.4 |
| L3 | Current streak | L2 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 games | 2-8 |
| 9-5 road | Home / road record | 2-7 home |
| 40-42 (-1.1) | Last season | 18-64 (-12.4) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Hawks
Injury report Wizards
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.