Wizards vs Hawks prediction NBA · Tuesday, February 24
At a glance
The Atlanta Hawks (28-31) host the Washington Wizards (16-40) on Tuesday, February 24 at 7:30 PM ET at State Farm Arena in NBA action. Final score: Wizards 98 – Hawks 119. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hawks a 79% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Hawks are 11-16 at home and the Wizards are 5-21 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Hawks and 4-6 for the Wizards (current streaks: Hawks W1, Wizards L1).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Hawks dominate this matchup. The model projects Hawks 123 – 112 Wizards, a margin of about 10.2 points in favor of the Hawks and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-1.2 vs -9.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Hawks' offense (117.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Hawks' defense allows clearly fewer points (118.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
WSHATL
Top performers
Wizards
Will RileyG · #2718pts / game
Bub CarringtonG · #77assistsBub CarringtonG · #710reboundsHawks
Jonathan KumingaF · #2427pts / game
Onyeka OkongwuF · #177assists
Mouhamed GueyeF · #1811reboundsRecent form
WSHATLHead-to-head
ATL lead 3-1 this season.
ATL
Team comparison
| WSH | ATL | |
|---|---|---|
| 16-40 | Record | 28-31 |
| 111.7 | Points scored / game | 117.1 |
| 122.4 | Points allowed / game | 118.5 |
| -9.1 | Adjusted margin / game | -1.2 |
| L1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 games | 4-6 |
| 5-21 road | Home / road record | 11-16 home |
| 18-64 (-12.4) | Last season | 40-42 (-1.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Wizards
Injury report Hawks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.