Kings vs Rockets prediction NBA · Wednesday, February 25
At a glance
The Houston Rockets (35-21) host the Sacramento Kings (13-46) on Wednesday, February 25 at 8:00 PM ET at Toyota Center (Houston) in NBA action. Final score: Kings 97 – Rockets 128. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 87% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Rockets are 19-7 at home and the Kings are 4-26 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Rockets and 1-9 for the Kings (current streaks: Rockets W1, Kings W1).
The analysis Model
The Rockets start with a clear edge. The model projects Rockets 121 – 107 Kings, a margin of about 14.1 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+4.3 vs -7.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Rockets' offense (114.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.4 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
SACHOU
Top performers
Kings
Russell WestbrookG · #1822pts / game
DeMar DeRozanG · #107assists
Precious AchiuwaF · #910reboundsRockets
Reed SheppardG · #1528pts / game
Alperen SengunC · #2811assistsAlperen SengunC · #2813reboundsRecent form
SACHOUHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
SAC
Team comparison
| SAC | HOU | |
|---|---|---|
| 13-46 | Record | 35-21 |
| 111.2 | Points scored / game | 114.5 |
| 120.0 | Points allowed / game | 109.4 |
| -7.5 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.3 |
| W1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 1-9 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 4-26 road | Home / road record | 19-7 home |
| 40-42 (+0.5) | Last season | 52-30 (+4.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Kings
Injury report Rockets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.