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Kings vs Rockets prediction NBA · Wednesday, December 3

FinalToyota Center (Houston) · Space City Home Network, NBC Sports CA, NBA League Pass
11% win SACwin HOU 89%
FavoriteHOU
Projected margin15.1
Projected total231
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Houston Rockets (13-5) host the Sacramento Kings (5-16) on Wednesday, December 3 at 8:00 PM ET at Toyota Center (Houston) in NBA action. Final score: Kings 95 – Rockets 121. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 89% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Rockets are 5-2 at home and the Kings are 2-9 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Rockets and 2-8 for the Kings (current streaks: Rockets L1, Kings L3).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Rockets dominate this matchup. The model projects Rockets 123 – 108 Kings, a margin of about 15.1 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (+6.9 vs -5.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Rockets' offense (118.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.6 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Rockets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)HOU +6.9 / SAC -5.9 per game
+12.8
Home-court advantageRockets at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Rockets
+15.1

Scenarios

Rockets win by 10+
66%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
16%
Kings win by 10+
2%

Stat comparison Current season

SACHOU
113.2
Points scored / game
118.8
120.1
Points allowed / game
110.6
44.5 %
Field goal %
51.7 %
30.0 %
3-point %
40.4 %
32.5
3-pointers attempted / game
32.2
73.1 %
Free throw %
84.7 %
41.5
Rebounds / game
44.8
22.8
Assists / game
28.2
6.8
Steals / game
10.2
2.5
Blocks / game
6.0
14.3
Turnovers / game
15.8

Top performers

Kings
Maxime RaynaudC · #4225pts / game
Russell WestbrookG · #189assists
Keegan MurrayF · #1311rebounds
Rockets
Alperen SengunC · #2828pts / game
Kevin DurantF · #78assists
Amen ThompsonG · #112rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
SAC
No games played yet.
HOU
No games played yet.

Team comparison

SACHOU
5-16Record13-5
113.2Points scored / game118.8
120.1Points allowed / game110.6
-5.9Adjusted margin / game+6.9
L3Current streakL1
2-8Last 10 games8-2
2-9 roadHome / road record5-2 home
40-42 (+0.5)Last season52-30 (+4.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Sacramento Kings Injury report Kings

No injuries reported.

Houston Rockets Injury report Rockets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.