Rockets vs Kings prediction NBA · Sunday, January 11
At a glance
The Sacramento Kings (8-30) host the Houston Rockets (22-13) on Sunday, January 11 at 9:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center in NBA action. Final score: Rockets 98 – Kings 111. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 82% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Kings are 5-13 at home and the Rockets are 11-11 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Kings and 5-5 for the Rockets (current streaks: Kings L7, Rockets L2).
The analysis Model
The Rockets start with a clear edge. The model projects Kings 109 – 121 Rockets, a margin of about 11.4 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-7.8 vs +5.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Rockets' offense (117.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
HOUSAC
Top performers
Rockets
Amen ThompsonG · #131pts / gameAmen ThompsonG · #16assistsAmen ThompsonG · #113reboundsKings
DeMar DeRozanG · #1022pts / game
Russell WestbrookG · #1810assists
Dylan CardwellC · #3211reboundsRecent form
HOUSACHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
SAC
Team comparison
| HOU | SAC | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-13 | Record | 8-30 |
| 117.4 | Points scored / game | 111.2 |
| 110.5 | Points allowed / game | 120.4 |
| +5.9 | Adjusted margin / game | -7.8 |
| L2 | Current streak | L7 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 2-8 |
| 11-11 road | Home / road record | 5-13 home |
| 52-30 (+4.5) | Last season | 40-42 (+0.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Rockets
Injury report Kings
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.