Rockets vs Kings prediction NBA · Sunday, December 21
At a glance
The Sacramento Kings (6-22) host the Houston Rockets (17-8) on Sunday, December 21 at 10:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center in NBA action. Final score: Rockets 124 – Kings 125. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 80% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Kings are 3-9 at home and the Rockets are 9-6 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 1-9 for the Kings and 6-4 for the Rockets (current streaks: Kings L5, Rockets W1).
The analysis Model
The Rockets start with a clear edge. The model projects Kings 109 – 120 Rockets, a margin of about 10.6 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Kings and the Rockets played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (-6.4 vs +6.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Rockets' offense (118.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.0 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
HOUSAC
Top performers
Rockets
Alperen SengunC · #2828pts / game
Kevin DurantF · #78assistsKevin DurantF · #710reboundsKings
DeMar DeRozanG · #1027pts / game
Dennis SchroderG · #1710assists
Maxime RaynaudC · #4214reboundsRecent form
HOUSACHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
SAC
Team comparison
| HOU | SAC | |
|---|---|---|
| 17-8 | Record | 6-22 |
| 118.7 | Points scored / game | 112.4 |
| 111.0 | Points allowed / game | 119.9 |
| +6.6 | Adjusted margin / game | -6.4 |
| W1 | Current streak | L5 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 1-9 |
| 9-6 road | Home / road record | 3-9 home |
| 52-30 (+4.5) | Last season | 40-42 (+0.5) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Rockets
Injury report Kings
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.