Kings vs Grizzlies prediction NBA · Monday, February 23
At a glance
The Memphis Grizzlies (21-34) host the Sacramento Kings (12-46) on Monday, February 23 at 8:00 PM ET at FedExForum in NBA action. Final score: Kings 123 – Grizzlies 114. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Grizzlies a 77% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Grizzlies are 12-15 at home and the Kings are 3-26 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Grizzlies and 0-10 for the Kings (current streaks: Grizzlies L1, Kings L16).
The analysis Model
The Grizzlies start with a clear edge. The model projects Grizzlies 121 – 112 Kings, a margin of about 9.2 points in favor of the Grizzlies and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-0.8 vs -7.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Grizzlies' offense (116.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
SACMEM
Top performers
Kings
Russell WestbrookG · #1825pts / gameRussell WestbrookG · #187assists
Maxime RaynaudC · #4213reboundsGrizzlies
Javon SmallG · #1021pts / gameJavon SmallG · #109assists
Rayan RupertG · #129reboundsRecent form
SACMEMHead-to-head
MEM lead 3-1 this season.
SAC
Team comparison
| SAC | MEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 12-46 | Record | 21-34 |
| 111.0 | Points scored / game | 116.6 |
| 120.1 | Points allowed / game | 117.6 |
| -7.7 | Adjusted margin / game | -0.8 |
| L16 | Current streak | L1 |
| 0-10 | Last 10 games | 3-7 |
| 3-26 road | Home / road record | 12-15 home |
| 40-42 (+0.5) | Last season | 48-34 (+4.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Kings
Injury report Grizzlies
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.