Grizzlies vs Kings prediction NBA · Wednesday, February 4
At a glance
The Sacramento Kings (12-39) host the Memphis Grizzlies (19-29) on Wednesday, February 4 at 10:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center in NBA action. Final score: Grizzlies 129 – Kings 125. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Grizzlies a 63% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Kings are 9-16 at home and the Grizzlies are 8-14 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 1-9 for the Kings and 3-7 for the Grizzlies (current streaks: Kings L9, Grizzlies W1).
The analysis Model
The Grizzlies are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Kings 114 – 118 Grizzlies, a margin of about 4.2 points in favor of the Grizzlies and a total around 232 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-6.9 vs -0.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Grizzlies' offense (116.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MEMSAC
Top performers
Grizzlies
Ty JeromeG · #228pts / gameTy JeromeG · #27assists
GG JacksonF · #457reboundsKings
Domantas SabonisF · #1124pts / game
DeMar DeRozanG · #105assistsDomantas SabonisF · #1115reboundsRecent form
MEMSACHead-to-head
MEM lead 3-1 this season.
SAC
Team comparison
| MEM | SAC | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-29 | Record | 12-39 |
| 116.4 | Points scored / game | 111.2 |
| 116.8 | Points allowed / game | 119.4 |
| -0.4 | Adjusted margin / game | -6.9 |
| W1 | Current streak | L9 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 games | 1-9 |
| 8-14 road | Home / road record | 9-16 home |
| 48-34 (+4.9) | Last season | 40-42 (+0.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Grizzlies
Injury report Kings
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.