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Kings vs Grizzlies prediction NBA · Thursday, November 20

FinalFedExForum · FanDuel SN SE, NBC Sports CA, NBA League Pass
28% win SACwin MEM 72%
FavoriteMEM
Projected margin7.2
Projected total232
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Memphis Grizzlies (4-11) host the Sacramento Kings (3-12) on Thursday, November 20 at 8:00 PM ET at FedExForum in NBA action. Final score: Kings 96 – Grizzlies 137. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Grizzlies a 72% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Grizzlies are 3-5 at home and the Kings are 1-7 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 1-9 for the Grizzlies and 2-8 for the Kings (current streaks: Grizzlies L5, Kings L7).

The analysis Model

The Grizzlies are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Grizzlies 120 – 113 Kings, a margin of about 7.2 points in favor of the Grizzlies and a total around 232 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Kings played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Grizzlies
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MEM -2.0 / SAC -5.3 per game
+3.3
Home-court advantageGrizzlies at home
+2.3
Back-to-backKings played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Grizzlies
+7.2

Scenarios

Grizzlies win by 10+
41%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
27%
Kings win by 10+
8%

Stat comparison Current season

SACMEM
113.7
Points scored / game
115.8
119.9
Points allowed / game
118.2
44.5 %
Field goal %
45.3 %
30.0 %
3-point %
39.1 %
32.5
3-pointers attempted / game
37.8
73.1 %
Free throw %
82.8 %
41.5
Rebounds / game
50.0
22.8
Assists / game
25.0
6.8
Steals / game
6.3
2.5
Blocks / game
6.3
14.3
Turnovers / game
15.5

Top performers

Kings
Zach LaVineG · #826pts / game
Dennis SchroderG · #176assists
Russell WestbrookG · #187rebounds
Grizzlies
Santi AldamaF · #3429pts / game
Vince Williams Jr.G · #015assists
GG JacksonF · #459rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
SAC
No games played yet.
MEM
No games played yet.

Team comparison

SACMEM
3-12Record4-11
113.7Points scored / game115.8
119.9Points allowed / game118.2
-5.3Adjusted margin / game-2.0
L7Current streakL5
2-8Last 10 games1-9
1-7 roadHome / road record3-5 home
40-42 (+0.5)Last season48-34 (+4.9)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

Sacramento Kings Injury report Kings

No injuries reported.

Memphis Grizzlies Injury report Grizzlies

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.