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Grizzlies vs Kings prediction NBA · Sunday, November 30

FinalGolden 1 Center · FanDuel SN SE, NBA League Pass, NBC Sports CA
60% win MEMwin SAC 40%
FavoriteMEM
Projected margin3.1
Projected total234
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Sacramento Kings (5-15) host the Memphis Grizzlies (8-12) on Sunday, November 30 at 9:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center in NBA action. Final score: Grizzlies 115 – Kings 107. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Grizzlies a 60% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Kings are 3-6 at home and the Grizzlies are 4-6 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Kings and 4-6 for the Grizzlies (current streaks: Kings L2, Grizzlies W2).

The analysis Model

The Grizzlies are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Kings 115 – 118 Grizzlies, a margin of about 3.1 points in favor of the Grizzlies and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (-5.9 vs -0.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Grizzlies' offense (116.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Grizzlies' defense allows clearly fewer points (116.9 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Kings
Team strength (adjusted point differential)SAC -5.9 / MEM -0.4 per game
-5.4
Home-court advantageKings at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Kings
-3.1

Scenarios

Kings win by 10+
15%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Grizzlies win by 10+
29%

Stat comparison Current season

MEMSAC
116.5
Points scored / game
113.4
116.9
Points allowed / game
120.3
45.3 %
Field goal %
44.5 %
39.1 %
3-point %
30.0 %
37.8
3-pointers attempted / game
32.5
82.8 %
Free throw %
73.1 %
50.0
Rebounds / game
41.5
25.0
Assists / game
22.8
6.3
Steals / game
6.8
6.3
Blocks / game
2.5
15.5
Turnovers / game
14.3

Top performers

Grizzlies
Zach EdeyC · #1432pts / game
Vince Williams Jr.G · #07assists
Zach EdeyC · #1417rebounds
Kings
DeMar DeRozanG · #1023pts / game
Russell WestbrookG · #187assists
Precious AchiuwaF · #97rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MEM
No games played yet.
SAC
No games played yet.

Team comparison

MEMSAC
8-12Record5-15
116.5Points scored / game113.4
116.9Points allowed / game120.3
-0.4Adjusted margin / game-5.9
W2Current streakL2
4-6Last 10 games2-8
4-6 roadHome / road record3-6 home
48-34 (+4.9)Last season40-42 (+0.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Memphis Grizzlies Injury report Grizzlies

No injuries reported.

Sacramento Kings Injury report Kings

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.