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Raptors vs Bucks prediction NBA · Sunday, February 22

FinalFiserv Forum · FanDuel SN WI, TSN, NBA League Pass
50% win TORwin MIL 50%
FavoriteMIL
Projected margin0.1
Projected total227
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Milwaukee Bucks (24-30) host the Toronto Raptors (33-23) on Sunday, February 22 at 3:30 PM ET at Fiserv Forum in NBA action. Final score: Raptors 122 – Bucks 94. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Bucks a 50% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Bucks are 12-12 at home and the Raptors are 17-10 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Bucks and 6-4 for the Raptors (current streaks: Bucks W3, Raptors W1).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Bucks 114 – 113 Raptors, a margin of about 0.1 points in favor of the Bucks and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Raptors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bucks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MIL -1.7 / TOR +0.5 per game
-2.2
Home-court advantageBucks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Bucks
+0.1

Scenarios

Bucks win by 10+
21%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Raptors win by 10+
21%

Stat comparison Current season

TORMIL
113.2
Points scored / game
112.9
112.6
Points allowed / game
114.8
44.2 %
Field goal %
44.9 %
30.4 %
3-point %
34.0 %
34.5
3-pointers attempted / game
41.2
79.0 %
Free throw %
71.6 %
45.8
Rebounds / game
49.8
27.3
Assists / game
24.6
14.3
Steals / game
5.8
5.5
Blocks / game
4.0
14.0
Turnovers / game
16.8

Top performers

Raptors
Immanuel QuickleyG · #532pts / game
Immanuel QuickleyG · #59assists
Jakob PoeltlC · #198rebounds
Bucks
Ryan RollinsG · #1321pts / game
Kevin Porter Jr.G · #710assists
Ryan RollinsG · #139rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
TOR
No games played yet.
MIL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

TORMIL
33-23Record24-30
113.2Points scored / game112.9
112.6Points allowed / game114.8
+0.5Adjusted margin / game-1.7
W1Current streakW3
6-4Last 10 games6-4
17-10 roadHome / road record12-12 home
30-52 (-4.3)Last season48-34 (+2.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Toronto Raptors Injury report Raptors

No injuries reported.

Milwaukee Bucks Injury report Bucks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.