Bucks vs Raptors prediction NBA · Friday, October 24
At a glance
The Toronto Raptors (1-0) host the Milwaukee Bucks (1-0) on Friday, October 24 at 6:30 PM ET at Scotiabank Arena in NBA action. Final score: Bucks 122 – Raptors 116. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Bucks a 58% chance to win: prediction correct. Since the start of the season: 1-0 for the Raptors and 1-0 for the Bucks (current streaks: Raptors W1, Bucks W1).
The analysis Model
The Bucks are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Raptors 113 – 116 Bucks, a margin of about 2.6 points in favor of the Bucks and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (-2.1 vs +2.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Raptors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Bucks' offense (116.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MILTOR
Top performers
Bucks
Giannis AntetokounmpoF · #731pts / gameGiannis AntetokounmpoF · #77assistsGiannis AntetokounmpoF · #720reboundsRaptors
Brandon IngramF · #729pts / game
Immanuel QuickleyG · #58assistsImmanuel QuickleyG · #57reboundsRecent form
MILTORHead-to-head
TOR lead 3-1 this season.
MIL
Team comparison
| MIL | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Record | 1-0 |
| 116.9 | Points scored / game | 113.0 |
| 113.6 | Points allowed / game | 115.4 |
| +2.8 | Adjusted margin / game | -2.1 |
| W1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 1-0 | Last 10 games | 1-0 |
| 0-0 road | Home / road record | 0-0 home |
| 48-34 (+2.5) | Last season | 30-52 (-4.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Bucks
Injury report Raptors
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.