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Raptors vs Bucks prediction NBA · Thursday, December 18

FinalFiserv Forum · FanDuel SN WI, TSN, NBA League Pass
48% win TORwin MIL 52%
FavoriteMIL
Projected margin0.6
Projected total229
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Milwaukee Bucks (11-16) host the Toronto Raptors (16-11) on Thursday, December 18 at 8:00 PM ET at Fiserv Forum in NBA action. Final score: Raptors 111 – Bucks 105. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Bucks a 52% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Bucks are 8-7 at home and the Raptors are 8-5 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Bucks and 4-6 for the Raptors (current streaks: Bucks L1, Raptors W1).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Bucks 115 – 114 Raptors, a margin of about 0.6 points in favor of the Bucks and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Raptors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bucks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MIL -1.6 / TOR +0.2 per game
-1.7
Home-court advantageBucks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Bucks
+0.6

Scenarios

Bucks win by 10+
23%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Raptors win by 10+
20%

Stat comparison Current season

TORMIL
114.0
Points scored / game
114.4
113.8
Points allowed / game
116.2
44.2 %
Field goal %
44.9 %
30.4 %
3-point %
34.0 %
34.5
3-pointers attempted / game
41.2
79.0 %
Free throw %
71.6 %
45.8
Rebounds / game
49.8
27.3
Assists / game
24.6
14.3
Steals / game
5.8
5.5
Blocks / game
4.0
14.0
Turnovers / game
16.8

Top performers

Raptors
Brandon IngramF · #729pts / game
Jamal SheadG · #2311assists
Scottie BarnesF · #411rebounds
Bucks
Bobby PortisF · #9524pts / game
Kevin Porter Jr.G · #713assists
Bobby PortisF · #9512rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
TOR
No games played yet.
MIL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

TORMIL
16-11Record11-16
114.0Points scored / game114.4
113.8Points allowed / game116.2
+0.2Adjusted margin / game-1.6
W1Current streakL1
4-6Last 10 games3-7
8-5 roadHome / road record8-7 home
30-52 (-4.3)Last season48-34 (+2.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Toronto Raptors Injury report Raptors

No injuries reported.

Milwaukee Bucks Injury report Bucks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.