Bucks vs Raptors prediction NBA · Tuesday, November 4
At a glance
The Toronto Raptors (3-4) host the Milwaukee Bucks (5-2) on Tuesday, November 4 at 7:30 PM ET at Scotiabank Arena in NBA action. Final score: Bucks 100 – Raptors 128. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Bucks a 55% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Raptors are 1-2 at home and the Bucks are 2-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-4 for the Raptors and 5-2 for the Bucks (current streaks: Raptors W2, Bucks W1).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Raptors 114 – 116 Bucks, a margin of about 1.6 points in favor of the Bucks and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Bucks played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (-2.7 vs +2.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Raptors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Bucks' offense (118.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MILTOR
Top performers
Bucks
Giannis AntetokounmpoF · #722pts / game
Ryan RollinsG · #135assists
Bobby PortisF · #959reboundsRaptors
RJ BarrettF · #923pts / game
Jamal SheadG · #238assists
Jakob PoeltlC · #199reboundsRecent form
MILTORHead-to-head
TOR lead 3-1 this season.
MIL
Team comparison
| MIL | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 5-2 | Record | 3-4 |
| 118.2 | Points scored / game | 114.0 |
| 114.8 | Points allowed / game | 117.2 |
| +2.9 | Adjusted margin / game | -2.7 |
| W1 | Current streak | W2 |
| 5-2 | Last 10 games | 3-4 |
| 2-1 road | Home / road record | 1-2 home |
| 48-34 (+2.5) | Last season | 30-52 (-4.3) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Bucks
Injury report Raptors
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.