Mavericks vs Timberwolves prediction NBA · Friday, February 20
At a glance
The Minnesota Timberwolves (34-22) host the Dallas Mavericks (19-35) on Friday, February 20 at 7:30 PM ET at Target Center in NBA action. Final score: Mavericks 111 – Timberwolves 122. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Timberwolves a 77% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Timberwolves are 19-10 at home and the Mavericks are 5-19 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Timberwolves and 1-9 for the Mavericks (current streaks: Timberwolves W2, Mavericks L9).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Timberwolves dominate this matchup. The model projects Timberwolves 120 – 111 Mavericks, a margin of about 9.1 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 232 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+4.2 vs -2.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Mavericks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Timberwolves' offense (118.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Timberwolves' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DALMIN
Top performers
Mavericks
Khris MiddletonF · #2218pts / game
Tyus JonesG · #56assists
Marvin Bagley IIIF · #313reboundsTimberwolves
Anthony EdwardsG · #540pts / game
Donte DiVincenzoG · #09assists
Rudy GobertC · #2717reboundsRecent form
DALMINHead-to-head
MIN lead 4-0 this season.
DAL
Team comparison
| DAL | MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-35 | Record | 34-22 |
| 114.0 | Points scored / game | 118.7 |
| 117.0 | Points allowed / game | 113.8 |
| -2.6 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.2 |
| L9 | Current streak | W2 |
| 1-9 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 5-19 road | Home / road record | 19-10 home |
| 39-43 (-1.2) | Last season | 49-33 (+5.0) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Mavericks
Injury report Timberwolves
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.