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Spurs vs Lakers prediction NBA · Tuesday, February 10

Finalcrypto.com Arena · Spectrum Sports Net, Spectrum Sports Net +, NBA TV, FanDuel SN SW
57% win SAwin LAL 43%
FavoriteSA
Projected margin2.1
Projected total229
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Los Angeles Lakers (32-20) host the San Antonio Spurs (36-17) on Tuesday, February 10 at 10:30 PM ET at crypto.com Arena in NBA action. Final score: Spurs 136 – Lakers 108. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 57% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Lakers are 14-9 at home and the Spurs are 17-11 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Lakers and 7-3 for the Spurs (current streaks: Lakers L1, Spurs W4).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Lakers 113 – 116 Spurs, a margin of about 2.1 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Lakers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Lakers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Lakers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAL +0.3 / SA +3.1 per game
-2.8
Home-court advantageLakers at home
+2.3
Back-to-backLakers played yesterday
-1.6
Expected marginfor Lakers
-2.1

Scenarios

Lakers win by 10+
17%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Spurs win by 10+
26%

Stat comparison Current season

SALAL
116.9
Points scored / game
115.5
113.2
Points allowed / game
115.2
46.0 %
Field goal %
52.9 %
34.6 %
3-point %
39.2 %
38.2
3-pointers attempted / game
36.2
78.3 %
Free throw %
79.1 %
45.0
Rebounds / game
38.0
28.2
Assists / game
24.0
9.8
Steals / game
10.8
6.6
Blocks / game
5.8
12.8
Turnovers / game
16.6

Top performers

Spurs
Victor WembanyamaF · #140pts / game
Stephon CastleG · #57assists
Victor WembanyamaF · #112rebounds
Lakers
Luke KennardG · #814pts / game
Bronny JamesG · #96assists
Dalton KnechtF · #995rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
SA
No games played yet.
LAL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

SALAL
36-17Record32-20
116.9Points scored / game115.5
113.2Points allowed / game115.2
+3.1Adjusted margin / game+0.3
W4Current streakL1
7-3Last 10 games6-4
17-11 roadHome / road record14-9 home
34-48 (-2.8)Last season50-32 (+1.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

San Antonio Spurs Injury report Spurs

No injuries reported.

Los Angeles Lakers Injury report Lakers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.