Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Spurs vs Lakers prediction NBA · Wednesday, December 10

Finalcrypto.com Arena · Prime Video, Spectrum Sports Net
43% win SAwin LAL 57%
FavoriteLAL
Projected margin2.3
Projected total232
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Los Angeles Lakers (17-6) host the San Antonio Spurs (16-7) on Wednesday, December 10 at 10:00 PM ET at crypto.com Arena in NBA action. Final score: Spurs 132 – Lakers 119. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Lakers a 57% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Lakers are 7-3 at home and the Spurs are 7-5 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Lakers and 7-3 for the Spurs (current streaks: Lakers W1, Spurs W1).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Lakers 117 – 115 Spurs, a margin of about 2.3 points in favor of the Lakers and a total around 232 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Spurs need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Lakers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAL +1.6 / SA +1.6 per game
-0.0
Home-court advantageLakers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Lakers
+2.3

Scenarios

Lakers win by 10+
27%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Spurs win by 10+
16%

Stat comparison Current season

SALAL
117.6
Points scored / game
116.6
115.7
Points allowed / game
114.8
46.0 %
Field goal %
52.9 %
34.6 %
3-point %
39.2 %
38.2
3-pointers attempted / game
36.2
78.3 %
Free throw %
79.1 %
45.0
Rebounds / game
38.0
28.2
Assists / game
24.0
9.8
Steals / game
10.8
6.6
Blocks / game
5.8
12.8
Turnovers / game
16.6

Top performers

Spurs
Stephon CastleG · #530pts / game
Stephon CastleG · #56assists
Stephon CastleG · #510rebounds
Lakers
Luka DoncicG · #7735pts / game
Luka DoncicG · #778assists
LeBron JamesF · #2315rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
SA
No games played yet.
LAL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

SALAL
16-7Record17-6
117.6Points scored / game116.6
115.7Points allowed / game114.8
+1.6Adjusted margin / game+1.6
W1Current streakW1
7-3Last 10 games8-2
7-5 roadHome / road record7-3 home
34-48 (-2.8)Last season50-32 (+1.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

San Antonio Spurs Injury report Spurs

No injuries reported.

Los Angeles Lakers Injury report Lakers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.