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Spurs vs Lakers prediction NBA · Wednesday, November 5

Finalcrypto.com Arena · ESPN, Spectrum Sports Net, FanDuel SN SW
41% win SAwin LAL 59%
FavoriteLAL
Projected margin2.7
Projected total230
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Los Angeles Lakers (6-2) host the San Antonio Spurs (5-1) on Wednesday, November 5 at 10:00 PM ET at crypto.com Arena in NBA action. Final score: Spurs 116 – Lakers 118. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Lakers a 59% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Lakers are 2-2 at home and the Spurs are 2-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 6-2 for the Lakers and 5-1 for the Spurs (current streaks: Lakers W4, Spurs L1).

The analysis Model

The Lakers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Lakers 116 – 113 Spurs, a margin of about 2.7 points in favor of the Lakers and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Spurs need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Lakers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAL +1.7 / SA +1.3 per game
+0.4
Home-court advantageLakers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Lakers
+2.7

Scenarios

Lakers win by 10+
28%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Spurs win by 10+
15%

Stat comparison Current season

SALAL
115.3
Points scored / game
115.9
113.8
Points allowed / game
114.0
46.0 %
Field goal %
52.9 %
34.6 %
3-point %
39.2 %
38.2
3-pointers attempted / game
36.2
78.3 %
Free throw %
79.1 %
45.0
Rebounds / game
38.0
28.2
Assists / game
24.0
9.8
Steals / game
10.8
6.6
Blocks / game
5.8
12.8
Turnovers / game
16.6

Top performers

Spurs
Victor WembanyamaF · #119pts / game
Stephon CastleG · #58assists
Victor WembanyamaF · #18rebounds
Lakers
Luka DoncicG · #7735pts / game
Luka DoncicG · #7713assists
Deandre AytonC · #810rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
SA
No games played yet.
LAL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

SALAL
5-1Record6-2
115.3Points scored / game115.9
113.8Points allowed / game114.0
+1.3Adjusted margin / game+1.7
L1Current streakW4
5-1Last 10 games6-2
2-1 roadHome / road record2-2 home
34-48 (-2.8)Last season50-32 (+1.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

San Antonio Spurs Injury report Spurs

No injuries reported.

Los Angeles Lakers Injury report Lakers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.