Lakers vs Spurs prediction NBA · Wednesday, January 7
At a glance
The San Antonio Spurs (25-12) host the Los Angeles Lakers (23-11) on Wednesday, January 7 at 9:30 PM ET at Frost Bank Center in NBA action. Final score: Lakers 91 – Spurs 107. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 64% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Spurs are 12-5 at home and the Lakers are 13-5 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Spurs and 6-4 for the Lakers (current streaks: Spurs L2, Lakers W3).
The analysis Model
The Spurs are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Spurs 118 – 113 Lakers, a margin of about 4.5 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Spurs and the Lakers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The Lakers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
LALSA
Top performers
Lakers
Luka DoncicG · #7738pts / gameLuka DoncicG · #7710assistsLuka DoncicG · #7710reboundsSpurs
Keldon JohnsonF · #327pts / game
Harrison BarnesF · #406assists
Victor WembanyamaF · #114reboundsRecent form
LALSAHead-to-head
SA lead 3-1 this season.
SA
Team comparison
| LAL | SA | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-11 | Record | 25-12 |
| 116.1 | Points scored / game | 117.9 |
| 115.6 | Points allowed / game | 114.8 |
| +0.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +2.6 |
| W3 | Current streak | L2 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 13-5 road | Home / road record | 12-5 home |
| 50-32 (+1.2) | Last season | 34-48 (-2.8) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Lakers
Injury report Spurs
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.