Mavericks vs Rockets prediction NBA · Saturday, January 31
At a glance
The Houston Rockets (29-17) host the Dallas Mavericks (19-29) on Saturday, January 31 at 8:30 PM ET at Toyota Center (Houston) in NBA action. Final score: Mavericks 107 – Rockets 111. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 77% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Rockets are 16-4 at home and the Mavericks are 5-15 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Rockets and 5-5 for the Mavericks (current streaks: Rockets W1, Mavericks L3).
The analysis Model
The Rockets start with a clear edge. The model projects Rockets 119 – 110 Mavericks, a margin of about 9.1 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+4.9 vs -1.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Mavericks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.0 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DALHOU
Top performers
Mavericks
Cooper FlaggF · #3234pts / gameCooper FlaggF · #325assistsCooper FlaggF · #3212reboundsRockets
Amen ThompsonG · #121pts / gameAmen ThompsonG · #19assists
Alperen SengunC · #2814reboundsRecent form
DALHOUHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
DAL
Team comparison
| DAL | HOU | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-29 | Record | 29-17 |
| 114.2 | Points scored / game | 115.7 |
| 116.4 | Points allowed / game | 110.0 |
| -1.9 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.9 |
| L3 | Current streak | W1 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 5-15 road | Home / road record | 16-4 home |
| 39-43 (-1.2) | Last season | 52-30 (+4.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Mavericks
Injury report Rockets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.