Mavericks vs Rockets prediction NBA · Monday, November 3
At a glance
The Houston Rockets (3-2) host the Dallas Mavericks (2-4) on Monday, November 3 at 8:00 PM ET at Toyota Center (Houston) in NBA action. Final score: Mavericks 102 – Rockets 110. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 82% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Rockets are 1-1 at home and the Mavericks are 0-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-2 for the Rockets and 2-4 for the Mavericks (current streaks: Rockets W3, Mavericks L1).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Rockets dominate this matchup. The model projects Rockets 120 – 109 Mavericks, a margin of about 11.4 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+6.1 vs -3.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Mavericks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Rockets' offense (118.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.1 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DALHOU
Top performers
Mavericks
P.J. WashingtonF · #2529pts / game
D'Angelo RussellG12assistsP.J. WashingtonF · #2512reboundsRockets
Amen ThompsonG · #127pts / game
Alperen SengunC · #286assistsAlperen SengunC · #2811reboundsRecent form
DALHOUHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
DAL
Team comparison
| DAL | HOU | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-4 | Record | 3-2 |
| 112.2 | Points scored / game | 118.3 |
| 115.8 | Points allowed / game | 111.1 |
| -3.0 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.1 |
| L1 | Current streak | W3 |
| 2-4 | Last 10 games | 3-2 |
| 0-1 road | Home / road record | 1-1 home |
| 39-43 (-1.2) | Last season | 52-30 (+4.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Mavericks
Injury report Rockets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.