Grizzlies vs Pelicans prediction NBA · Friday, January 30
At a glance
The New Orleans Pelicans (12-37) host the Memphis Grizzlies (18-27) on Friday, January 30 at 7:30 PM ET at Smoothie King Center in NBA action. Final score: Grizzlies 106 – Pelicans 114. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Grizzlies a 62% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Pelicans are 7-19 at home and the Grizzlies are 8-13 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Pelicans and 3-7 for the Grizzlies (current streaks: Pelicans L1, Grizzlies L4).
The analysis Model
The Grizzlies are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Pelicans 115 – 119 Grizzlies, a margin of about 3.7 points in favor of the Grizzlies and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-6.2 vs -0.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Grizzlies' defense allows clearly fewer points (116.4 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MEMNO
Top performers
Grizzlies
Jaren Jackson Jr.F · #2016pts / game
Cedric CowardF · #235assistsJaren Jackson Jr.F · #209reboundsPelicans
Derik QueenC · #2222pts / gameDerik QueenC · #227assistsDerik QueenC · #229reboundsRecent form
MEMNOHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
NO
Team comparison
| MEM | NO | |
|---|---|---|
| 18-27 | Record | 12-37 |
| 116.2 | Points scored / game | 113.5 |
| 116.4 | Points allowed / game | 120.8 |
| -0.2 | Adjusted margin / game | -6.2 |
| L4 | Current streak | L1 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 games | 4-6 |
| 8-13 road | Home / road record | 7-19 home |
| 48-34 (+4.9) | Last season | 21-61 (-9.4) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Grizzlies
Injury report Pelicans
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.