Pelicans vs Grizzlies prediction NBA · Wednesday, October 22
At a glance
The Memphis Grizzlies host the New Orleans Pelicans on Wednesday, October 22 at 8:00 PM ET at FedExForum in NBA action. Final score: Pelicans 122 – Grizzlies 128. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Grizzlies a 88% chance to win: prediction correct.
The analysis Model
The Grizzlies start with a clear edge. The model projects Grizzlies 124 – 110 Pelicans, a margin of about 14.4 points in favor of the Grizzlies and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (+4.1 vs -8.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Grizzlies' offense (121.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
NOMEM
Top performers
Pelicans
Zion WilliamsonF · #127pts / gameZion WilliamsonF · #15assistsZion WilliamsonF · #19reboundsGrizzlies
Ja MorantG · #135pts / game
Jaylen WellsF · #04assists
Jaren Jackson Jr.F · #208reboundsRecent form
NOMEMHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
NO
Team comparison
| NO | MEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 1-0 |
| 109.8 | Points scored / game | 121.7 |
| 119.3 | Points allowed / game | 116.9 |
| -8.0 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.1 |
| – | Current streak | – |
| – | Last 10 games | – |
| – | Home / road record | – |
| 21-61 (-9.4) | Last season | 48-34 (+4.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pelicans
Injury report Grizzlies
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.