Grizzlies vs Pelicans prediction NBA · Wednesday, November 26
At a glance
The New Orleans Pelicans (3-15) host the Memphis Grizzlies (6-12) on Wednesday, November 26 at 8:00 PM ET at Smoothie King Center in NBA action. Final score: Grizzlies 133 – Pelicans 128. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Grizzlies a 68% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pelicans are 2-8 at home and the Grizzlies are 2-6 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 1-9 for the Pelicans and 3-7 for the Grizzlies (current streaks: Pelicans W1, Grizzlies L1).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Grizzlies, but the Pelicans have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Pelicans 113 – 119 Grizzlies, a margin of about 6.0 points in favor of the Grizzlies and a total around 232 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-9.0 vs -0.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Grizzlies' offense (116.0 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Grizzlies' defense allows clearly fewer points (116.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MEMNO
Top performers
Grizzlies
Jaren Jackson Jr.F · #2027pts / game
Vince Williams Jr.G · #017assists
Zach EdeyC · #1415reboundsPelicans
Jose AlvaradoG · #524pts / game
Derik QueenC · #229assists
Saddiq BeyG · #4110reboundsRecent form
MEMNOHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
NO
Team comparison
| MEM | NO | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-12 | Record | 3-15 |
| 116.0 | Points scored / game | 110.3 |
| 116.9 | Points allowed / game | 120.8 |
| -0.7 | Adjusted margin / game | -9.0 |
| L1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 games | 1-9 |
| 2-6 road | Home / road record | 2-8 home |
| 48-34 (+4.9) | Last season | 21-61 (-9.4) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Grizzlies
Injury report Pelicans
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.