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Pelicans vs Grizzlies prediction NBA · Friday, January 23

FinalFedExForum · GCSEN, Pelicans.com, NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN SE
23% win NOwin MEM 77%
FavoriteMEM
Projected margin9.2
Projected total234
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Memphis Grizzlies (18-24) host the New Orleans Pelicans (10-36) on Friday, January 23 at 8:00 PM ET at FedExForum in NBA action. Final score: Pelicans 133 – Grizzlies 127. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Grizzlies a 77% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Grizzlies are 10-12 at home and the Pelicans are 3-17 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Grizzlies and 2-8 for the Pelicans (current streaks: Grizzlies L1, Pelicans L3).

The analysis Model

The Grizzlies start with a clear edge. The model projects Grizzlies 122 – 112 Pelicans, a margin of about 9.2 points in favor of the Grizzlies and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (+0.3 vs -6.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Grizzlies' offense (116.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Grizzlies' defense allows clearly fewer points (116.4 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Grizzlies
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MEM +0.3 / NO -6.6 per game
+6.9
Home-court advantageGrizzlies at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Grizzlies
+9.2

Scenarios

Grizzlies win by 10+
47%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
24%
Pelicans win by 10+
6%

Stat comparison Current season

NOMEM
113.7
Points scored / game
116.7
121.4
Points allowed / game
116.4
46.5 %
Field goal %
45.3 %
29.0 %
3-point %
39.1 %
31.0
3-pointers attempted / game
37.8
83.6 %
Free throw %
82.8 %
44.3
Rebounds / game
50.0
23.5
Assists / game
25.0
12.3
Steals / game
6.3
4.8
Blocks / game
6.3
16.5
Turnovers / game
15.5

Top performers

Pelicans
Saddiq BeyG · #4136pts / game
Derik QueenC · #225assists
Zion WilliamsonF · #111rebounds
Grizzlies
Jaren Jackson Jr.F · #2026pts / game
Cam SpencerG · #2411assists
Jaren Jackson Jr.F · #2012rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
NO
No games played yet.
MEM
No games played yet.

Team comparison

NOMEM
10-36Record18-24
113.7Points scored / game116.7
121.4Points allowed / game116.4
-6.6Adjusted margin / game+0.3
L3Current streakL1
2-8Last 10 games3-7
3-17 roadHome / road record10-12 home
21-61 (-9.4)Last season48-34 (+4.9)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

New Orleans Pelicans Injury report Pelicans

No injuries reported.

Memphis Grizzlies Injury report Grizzlies

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.