Bucks vs Wizards prediction NBA · Thursday, January 29
At a glance
The Washington Wizards (11-34) host the Milwaukee Bucks (18-27) on Thursday, January 29 at 7:00 PM ET at Capital One Arena in NBA action. Final score: Bucks 99 – Wizards 109. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Bucks a 65% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Wizards are 7-15 at home and the Bucks are 9-15 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 1-9 for the Wizards and 3-7 for the Bucks (current streaks: Wizards W1, Bucks L3).
The analysis Model
The Bucks are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Wizards 113 – 118 Bucks, a margin of about 4.8 points in favor of the Bucks and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-9.3 vs -2.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Bucks' defense allows clearly fewer points (115.4 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MILWSH
Top performers
Bucks
Myles TurnerC · #321pts / game
Ryan RollinsG · #138assistsMyles TurnerC · #314reboundsWizards
Kyshawn GeorgeF · #1823pts / game
Bub CarringtonG · #76assists
Alex SarrC · #2017reboundsRecent form
MILWSHHead-to-head
WSH lead 3-1 this season.
WSH
Team comparison
| MIL | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 18-27 | Record | 11-34 |
| 112.8 | Points scored / game | 111.4 |
| 115.4 | Points allowed / game | 122.3 |
| -2.2 | Adjusted margin / game | -9.3 |
| L3 | Current streak | W1 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 games | 1-9 |
| 9-15 road | Home / road record | 7-15 home |
| 48-34 (+2.5) | Last season | 18-64 (-12.4) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Bucks
Injury report Wizards
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.