Bucks vs Wizards prediction NBA · Monday, December 1
At a glance
The Washington Wizards (2-16) host the Milwaukee Bucks (9-12) on Monday, December 1 at 7:00 PM ET at Capital One Arena in NBA action. Final score: Bucks 126 – Wizards 129. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Bucks a 77% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Wizards are 1-6 at home and the Bucks are 3-6 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 1-9 for the Wizards and 2-8 for the Bucks (current streaks: Wizards L1, Bucks W1).
The analysis Model
The Bucks start with a clear edge. The model projects Wizards 112 – 121 Bucks, a margin of about 9.2 points in favor of the Bucks and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-12.0 vs -0.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Bucks' offense (115.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Bucks' defense allows clearly fewer points (116.0 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MILWSH
Top performers
Bucks
Kevin Porter Jr.G · #730pts / game
Kyle KuzmaF · #186assists
Giannis AntetokounmpoF · #77reboundsWizards
CJ McCollumG · #328pts / game
Khris MiddletonF · #226assists
Marvin Bagley IIIF · #38reboundsRecent form
MILWSHHead-to-head
WSH lead 3-1 this season.
WSH
Team comparison
| MIL | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 9-12 | Record | 2-16 |
| 115.5 | Points scored / game | 110.7 |
| 116.0 | Points allowed / game | 124.8 |
| -0.4 | Adjusted margin / game | -12.0 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 2-8 | Last 10 games | 1-9 |
| 3-6 road | Home / road record | 1-6 home |
| 48-34 (+2.5) | Last season | 18-64 (-12.4) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Bucks
Injury report Wizards
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.