Wizards vs Bucks prediction NBA · Wednesday, December 31
At a glance
The Milwaukee Bucks (14-19) host the Washington Wizards (7-24) on Wednesday, December 31 at 8:00 PM ET at Fiserv Forum in NBA action. Final score: Wizards 114 – Bucks 113. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Bucks a 82% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Bucks are 8-8 at home and the Wizards are 3-13 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Bucks and 4-6 for the Wizards (current streaks: Bucks W2, Wizards L1).
The analysis Model
The Bucks start with a clear edge. The model projects Bucks 122 – 110 Wizards, a margin of about 11.3 points in favor of the Bucks and a total around 232 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-1.3 vs -10.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Bucks' defense allows clearly fewer points (115.2 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
WSHMIL
Top performers
Wizards
Alex SarrC · #2020pts / game
Khris MiddletonF · #226assistsAlex SarrC · #2011reboundsBucks
Giannis AntetokounmpoF · #733pts / game
Ryan RollinsG · #137assistsGiannis AntetokounmpoF · #715reboundsRecent form
WSHMILHead-to-head
WSH lead 3-1 this season.
WSH
Team comparison
| WSH | MIL | |
|---|---|---|
| 7-24 | Record | 14-19 |
| 111.7 | Points scored / game | 113.7 |
| 123.8 | Points allowed / game | 115.2 |
| -10.2 | Adjusted margin / game | -1.3 |
| L1 | Current streak | W2 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 games | 4-6 |
| 3-13 road | Home / road record | 8-8 home |
| 18-64 (-12.4) | Last season | 48-34 (+2.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Wizards
Injury report Bucks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.