Pelicans vs Spurs prediction NBA · Sunday, January 25
At a glance
The San Antonio Spurs (31-15) host the New Orleans Pelicans (11-36) on Sunday, January 25 at 7:00 PM ET at Frost Bank Center in NBA action. Final score: Pelicans 104 – Spurs 95. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 82% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Spurs are 16-5 at home and the Pelicans are 4-17 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Spurs and 3-7 for the Pelicans (current streaks: Spurs W1, Pelicans W1).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Spurs dominate this matchup. The model projects Spurs 122 – 111 Pelicans, a margin of about 11.6 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+2.9 vs -6.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Spurs' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.6 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
NOSA
Top performers
Pelicans
Saddiq BeyG · #4124pts / game
Trey Murphy IIIF · #259assists
Yves MissiC · #2114reboundsSpurs
Victor WembanyamaF · #116pts / game
De'Aaron FoxG · #47assistsVictor WembanyamaF · #116reboundsRecent form
NOSAHead-to-head
SA lead 3-1 this season.
SA
Team comparison
| NO | SA | |
|---|---|---|
| 11-36 | Record | 31-15 |
| 114.0 | Points scored / game | 117.0 |
| 121.5 | Points allowed / game | 113.6 |
| -6.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +2.9 |
| W1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 4-17 road | Home / road record | 16-5 home |
| 21-61 (-9.4) | Last season | 34-48 (-2.8) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pelicans
Injury report Spurs
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.