Pelicans vs Spurs prediction NBA · Saturday, November 8
At a glance
The San Antonio Spurs (6-2) host the New Orleans Pelicans (2-6) on Saturday, November 8 at 8:00 PM ET at Frost Bank Center in NBA action. Final score: Pelicans 119 – Spurs 126. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 82% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Spurs are 4-0 at home and the Pelicans are 1-4 on the road. Since the start of the season: 6-2 for the Spurs and 2-6 for the Pelicans (current streaks: Spurs W1, Pelicans W2).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Spurs dominate this matchup. The model projects Spurs 120 – 108 Pelicans, a margin of about 11.4 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Spurs played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+1.5 vs -9.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Spurs' offense (115.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Spurs' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
NOSA
Top performers
Pelicans
Trey Murphy IIIF · #2541pts / game
Derik QueenC · #228assistsTrey Murphy IIIF · #259reboundsSpurs
De'Aaron FoxG · #424pts / game
Stephon CastleG · #513assists
Victor WembanyamaF · #118reboundsRecent form
NOSAHead-to-head
SA lead 3-1 this season.
SA
Team comparison
| NO | SA | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-6 | Record | 6-2 |
| 109.0 | Points scored / game | 115.7 |
| 119.9 | Points allowed / game | 113.9 |
| -9.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.5 |
| W2 | Current streak | W1 |
| 2-6 | Last 10 games | 6-2 |
| 1-4 road | Home / road record | 4-0 home |
| 21-61 (-9.4) | Last season | 34-48 (-2.8) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Pelicans
Injury report Spurs
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.