Spurs vs Pelicans prediction NBA · Monday, December 8
At a glance
The New Orleans Pelicans (3-21) host the San Antonio Spurs (15-7) on Monday, December 8 at 8:00 PM ET at Smoothie King Center in NBA action. Final score: Spurs 135 – Pelicans 132. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 74% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pelicans are 2-11 at home and the Spurs are 6-5 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 1-9 for the Pelicans and 7-3 for the Spurs (current streaks: Pelicans L6, Spurs L1).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Spurs dominate this matchup. The model projects Pelicans 112 – 121 Spurs, a margin of about 8.2 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-8.9 vs +1.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Spurs' offense (117.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Spurs' defense allows clearly fewer points (115.3 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
SANO
Top performers
Spurs
Harrison BarnesF · #4024pts / game
De'Aaron FoxG · #47assists
Luke KornetC · #78reboundsPelicans
Derik QueenC · #2233pts / gameDerik QueenC · #2210assistsDerik QueenC · #2210reboundsRecent form
SANOHead-to-head
SA lead 3-1 this season.
SA
Team comparison
| SA | NO | |
|---|---|---|
| 15-7 | Record | 3-21 |
| 117.1 | Points scored / game | 111.4 |
| 115.3 | Points allowed / game | 121.9 |
| +1.6 | Adjusted margin / game | -8.9 |
| L1 | Current streak | L6 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 1-9 |
| 6-5 road | Home / road record | 2-11 home |
| 34-48 (-2.8) | Last season | 21-61 (-9.4) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Spurs
Injury report Pelicans
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.