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Wizards vs Hornets prediction NBA · Saturday, January 24

FinalSpectrum Center · FanDuel SN SE, NBA League Pass
20% win WSHwin CHA 80%
FavoriteCHA
Projected margin10.6
Projected total231
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Charlotte Hornets (17-28) host the Washington Wizards (10-33) on Saturday, January 24 at 12:00 PM ET at Spectrum Center in NBA action. Final score: Wizards 115 – Hornets 119. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hornets a 80% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Hornets are 7-13 at home and the Wizards are 4-18 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Hornets and 1-9 for the Wizards (current streaks: Hornets W1, Wizards L8).

The analysis Model

The Hornets start with a clear edge. The model projects Hornets 121 – 110 Wizards, a margin of about 10.6 points in favor of the Hornets and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (-1.3 vs -9.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Hornets' defense allows clearly fewer points (115.2 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Hornets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHA -1.3 / WSH -9.6 per game
+8.3
Home-court advantageHornets at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Hornets
+10.6

Scenarios

Hornets win by 10+
52%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
22%
Wizards win by 10+
5%

Stat comparison Current season

WSHCHA
111.3
Points scored / game
113.7
122.6
Points allowed / game
115.2
48.0 %
Field goal %
41.7 %
28.5 %
3-point %
30.6 %
31.6
3-pointers attempted / game
43.2
83.1 %
Free throw %
85.2 %
40.0
Rebounds / game
47.4
25.8
Assists / game
20.6
7.4
Steals / game
6.8
5.6
Blocks / game
5.2
13.6
Turnovers / game
19.0

Top performers

Wizards
Tre JohnsonG · #1226pts / game
Bub CarringtonG · #78assists
Justin ChampagnieF · #911rebounds
Hornets
Brandon MillerF · #2421pts / game
LaMelo BallG · #111assists
Moussa DiabateF · #1414rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
WSH
No games played yet.
CHA
No games played yet.

Team comparison

WSHCHA
10-33Record17-28
111.3Points scored / game113.7
122.6Points allowed / game115.2
-9.6Adjusted margin / game-1.3
L8Current streakW1
1-9Last 10 games5-5
4-18 roadHome / road record7-13 home
18-64 (-12.4)Last season19-63 (-9.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Washington Wizards Injury report Wizards

No injuries reported.

Charlotte Hornets Injury report Hornets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.