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Hornets vs Wizards prediction NBA · Sunday, October 26

FinalCapital One Arena · MNMT, NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN SE
49% win CHAwin WSH 51%
FavoriteWSH
Projected margin0.4
Projected total225
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Washington Wizards (1-1) host the Charlotte Hornets (1-1) on Sunday, October 26 at 6:00 PM ET at Capital One Arena in NBA action. Final score: Hornets 139 – Wizards 113. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Wizards a 51% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Hornets are 0-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-1 for the Wizards and 1-1 for the Hornets (current streaks: Wizards W1, Hornets L1).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Wizards 113 – 112 Hornets, a margin of about 0.4 points in favor of the Wizards and a total around 225 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Hornets played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Hornets' defense allows clearly fewer points (115.2 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Wizards
Team strength (adjusted point differential)WSH -9.2 / CHA -5.7 per game
-3.5
Home-court advantageWizards at home
+2.3
Back-to-backHornets played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Wizards
+0.4

Scenarios

Wizards win by 10+
22%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Hornets win by 10+
20%

Stat comparison Current season

CHAWSH
108.4
Points scored / game
109.5
115.2
Points allowed / game
120.4
41.7 %
Field goal %
48.0 %
30.6 %
3-point %
28.5 %
43.2
3-pointers attempted / game
31.6
85.2 %
Free throw %
83.1 %
47.4
Rebounds / game
40.0
20.6
Assists / game
25.8
6.8
Steals / game
7.4
5.2
Blocks / game
5.6
19.0
Turnovers / game
13.6

Top performers

Hornets
LaMelo BallG · #138pts / game
LaMelo BallG · #113assists
LaMelo BallG · #113rebounds
Wizards
CJ McCollumG · #324pts / game
CJ McCollumG · #35assists
Kyshawn GeorgeF · #188rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHA
No games played yet.
WSH
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CHAWSH
1-1Record1-1
108.4Points scored / game109.5
115.2Points allowed / game120.4
-5.7Adjusted margin / game-9.2
L1Current streakW1
1-1Last 10 games1-1
0-1 roadHome / road record0-0 home
19-63 (-9.1)Last season18-64 (-12.4)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

Charlotte Hornets Injury report Hornets

No injuries reported.

Washington Wizards Injury report Wizards

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.