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Wizards vs Hornets prediction NBA · Tuesday, December 23

FinalSpectrum Center · MNMT, NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN SE
28% win WSHwin CHA 72%
FavoriteCHA
Projected margin7.1
Projected total231
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Charlotte Hornets (9-20) host the Washington Wizards (5-22) on Tuesday, December 23 at 7:00 PM ET at Spectrum Center in NBA action. Final score: Wizards 109 – Hornets 126. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hornets a 72% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Hornets are 6-8 at home and the Wizards are 3-12 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Hornets and 3-7 for the Wizards (current streaks: Hornets L2, Wizards L1).

The analysis Model

The Hornets are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Hornets 119 – 112 Wizards, a margin of about 7.1 points in favor of the Hornets and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Hornets played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The overall strength gap (-4.7 vs -11.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Hornets' defense allows clearly fewer points (117.7 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Hornets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHA -4.7 / WSH -11.1 per game
+6.4
Home-court advantageHornets at home
+2.3
Back-to-backHornets played yesterday
-1.6
Expected marginfor Hornets
+7.1

Scenarios

Hornets win by 10+
41%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
27%
Wizards win by 10+
9%

Stat comparison Current season

WSHCHA
111.3
Points scored / game
112.2
124.4
Points allowed / game
117.7
48.0 %
Field goal %
41.7 %
28.5 %
3-point %
30.6 %
31.6
3-pointers attempted / game
43.2
83.1 %
Free throw %
85.2 %
40.0
Rebounds / game
47.4
25.8
Assists / game
20.6
7.4
Steals / game
6.8
5.6
Blocks / game
5.2
13.6
Turnovers / game
19.0

Top performers

Wizards
Khris MiddletonF · #2216pts / game
Kyshawn GeorgeF · #186assists
Alex SarrC · #2011rebounds
Hornets
LaMelo BallG · #123pts / game
LaMelo BallG · #19assists
Moussa DiabateF · #1418rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
WSH
No games played yet.
CHA
No games played yet.

Team comparison

WSHCHA
5-22Record9-20
111.3Points scored / game112.2
124.4Points allowed / game117.7
-11.1Adjusted margin / game-4.7
L1Current streakL2
3-7Last 10 games4-6
3-12 roadHome / road record6-8 home
18-64 (-12.4)Last season19-63 (-9.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

Washington Wizards Injury report Wizards

No injuries reported.

Charlotte Hornets Injury report Hornets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.