Raptors vs Pacers prediction NBA · Wednesday, January 14
At a glance
The Indiana Pacers (9-31) host the Toronto Raptors (24-17) on Wednesday, January 14 at 7:00 PM ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in NBA action. Final score: Raptors 115 – Pacers 101. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Raptors a 58% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pacers are 7-15 at home and the Raptors are 11-8 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Pacers and 6-4 for the Raptors (current streaks: Pacers W3, Raptors L1).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Pacers 113 – 115 Raptors, a margin of about 2.4 points in favor of the Raptors and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-4.5 vs +0.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Raptors' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.0 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
TORIND
Top performers
Raptors
Brandon IngramF · #730pts / game
Scottie BarnesF · #413assists
Gradey DickG · #911reboundsPacers
Pascal SiakamF · #4326pts / game
Andrew NembhardG · #26assistsPascal SiakamF · #4310reboundsRecent form
TORINDHead-to-head
TOR lead 4-0 this season.
TOR
Team comparison
| TOR | IND | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-17 | Record | 9-31 |
| 113.2 | Points scored / game | 112.3 |
| 113.0 | Points allowed / game | 117.6 |
| +0.2 | Adjusted margin / game | -4.5 |
| L1 | Current streak | W3 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 3-7 |
| 11-8 road | Home / road record | 7-15 home |
| 30-52 (-4.3) | Last season | 50-32 (+2.2) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Raptors
Injury report Pacers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.